The polls give Obama a little over 50% of the popular vote right now, and McCain a little over 40%. The election could reflect those polls pretty closely, but if votes were weighted by excitement factor, Obama would win in a landslide.
Let me show you what I mean. Here's a graph from a google trends search I did:
Now, obviously this is not a scientific study. There are literally dozens — perhaps hundreds — of uncontrolled variables here, but the results are interesting nonetheless. Basically, what this says is that there have been between two and three times as many google searches of the word "Obama" as "McCain" in the last 12 months: that's 72% to 28%.
I also included the vice presidential candidates. Now this is interesting to me. Look at Obama compared to Biden, and McCain compared to Palin. Basically no one gives a crap about Biden, but Palin is more popular than McCain!
Anyway, normally I find election day kind of exciting, but I don't think there'll be any surprises this year. Obama by a mile.
No comments:
Post a Comment